Influence of random effects on the equilibrium modes in the population dynamics model

Abstract

In the paper, we study a dynamic model of interacting populations of the type “predator–two prey”. A detailed parametric analysis of the equilibrium modes arising in the system is carried out. In zones of the bifurcation parameter, where the coexistence of several equilibrium regimes is found, separable surfaces are constructed. Those surfaces are the boundaries of the attraction basins of different equilibria. It is shown that the effect of an external random disturbance can destroy the equilibrium mode of coexistence of three populations and lead to a qualitatively different mode of coexistence. Such qualitative changes lead to the extinction of one or two of the three populations. Using the technique of stochastic sensitivity function and the method of confidence domains, the probabilistic mechanisms of destruction of equilibrium modes are demonstrated. A parametric analysis of the probabilities of extinction of populations for two types is carried out. The range of the bifurcation parameter and the level of noise intensity, that are the most favorable for the coexistence of three populations, are discussed. © 2020 Izvestiya Instituta Matematiki i Informatiki Udmurtskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta. All rights reserved.