Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10995/92730
Title: Dynamic modeling of multi-regional migration processes: Ural federal district case study
Authors: Nikonov, O. I.
Tarasyev, A. A.
Jr.
Issue Date: 2015
Citation: Nikonov O. I. Dynamic modeling of multi-regional migration processes: Ural federal district case study / O. I. Nikonov, A. A. Tarasyev,. — DOI 10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.11.057 // IFAC-PapersOnLine. — 2015. — Vol. 25. — Iss. 28. — P. 45-49.
Abstract: This article presents a dynamic model, that describes the labor force movement dynamics between Russian regions in continues time. The conducted analysis shows that migration model usually doesn't take into account more than two regions of migration and take into account a very limited number of resulting factors. The presented modification our model allows to explain the dynamics of migration processes and their effects on regional economics both for regions of origin and attraction. The results of migration modeling in conditions of a closed system is presented on a graph and makes it possible to trace dependency between salaries levels, total labor force and the number of vacancies and unemployed people in several regions. Further research is planned to develop a model in terms of constructing unemployment and vacancies forecast and to create a model with elements of agent-based modeling to assess the impact of migration networks on the dynamics of inter-regional migration flows. © 2015, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: DYNAMIC MODELING
ECONOMIC EFFECTS
ECONOMIC THEORY OF MIGRATION
LABOR MARKET
LABOUR MIGRATION PREDICTION
MIGRATION POLICY
AUTONOMOUS AGENTS
COMPENSATION (PERSONNEL)
COMPUTATIONAL METHODS
DYNAMIC MODELS
DYNAMICS
ECONOMICS
EMPLOYMENT
REGIONAL PLANNING
AGENT-BASED MODEL
ECONOMIC THEORIES
LABOR MARKETS
MIGRATION FLOWS
MIGRATION NETWORKS
MIGRATION POLICY
MIGRATION PROCESS
TRACE DEPENDENCIES
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10995/92730
Access: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
SCOPUS ID: 84992524375
PURE ID: 699290
ISSN: 2405-8963
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.11.057
Appears in Collections:Научные публикации, проиндексированные в SCOPUS и WoS CC

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