Dynamic Modeling of Labor Migration Between Scientific Organizations

Abstract

In this article we examine the processes of academic potential reproduction, taking into account the main threats from scientific migration. Historically, since the 1990-s the amount of researchers in Russian Federation decreased by 58%. Under these conditions it is necessary to estimate the scale of further scientific migration and the outflow of researchers to other spheres of economy. For this purpose we developed a synthetic construction of dynamic models of labor migration and proportional economic growth with two-level optimization. The basis of this model is presented by the classical problem of optimal investments into capital management, expanded by the control unit of total costs directed to the labor resources. This model construction allows us to describe the migration movement between scientific organizations and institutes, taking into account the difference in working conditions. The pricing mechanism in this model is based on the assumption of organization's output maximization at a fixed cost. As result we obtained a multi-level model for the prediction of scientific personnel migratory flows between organizations. © 2018