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Полная запись метаданных
Поле DC | Значение | Язык |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Fedorova, S. V. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Khudyakov, P. Y. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Melkozerov, N. A. | en |
dc.contributor.author | Firsova, D. A. | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-07-22T06:48:34Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2019-07-22T06:48:34Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2014 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | From a forecasting methodology for the electric energy consumption of mono-towns to its sustainability / S. V. Fedorova, P. Y. Khudyakov, N. A. Melkozerov et al. // WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment. — 2014. — Vol. 186. — P. 185-196. | en |
dc.identifier.issn | 1743-3541 | - |
dc.identifier.other | http://www.witpress.com/Secure/elibrary/papers/ESUS14/ESUS14016FU1.pdf | |
dc.identifier.other | 1 | good_DOI |
dc.identifier.other | 224cc1f5-5761-4225-93ff-b684a5e52506 | pure_uuid |
dc.identifier.other | http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?partnerID=8YFLogxK&scp=84926486278 | m |
dc.identifier.uri | http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/75786 | - |
dc.description.abstract | The need of Russia for a resource-innovative energy strategy for the period up to 2035 makes it urgent to create a methodology of strategic forecasting for the electric energy consumption of mono-towns, which will result in the efficient development of a power supply system, ensuring territories’ sustainability. For this purpose, it is necessary to consider a mono-town as a complete system, a living organism with a definite life cycle and structure of energy consumers. The authors offer a technocoenosis approach to carry out the ranking and structural analysis of the electric energy consumption of one of the Sverdlovsk region’s mono-towns, taking into account dynamics in population, enterprises, organizations and institutions for the period of 5 years. The provided analysis makes it possible to judge the technocoenosis optimality using characteristic exponent β, depending on the structural features of the territory. The authors developed an algorithm for electric energy consumption forecasting, based on Support Vector Machines (SVM), which takes into account the electric energy of mono-towns’ consumers and the climatic factors. Forecasting accuracy was achieved using cross-validation of the input data in order to optimize the training model. The corresponding changes in electric energy consumption, when a characteristic exponent is optimal, will result in a target forecast that provides the sustainable development of mono-towns. © 2014 WIT Press. | en |
dc.description.sponsorship | International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning;WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment | en |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | en |
dc.language.iso | en | en |
dc.publisher | WITPress | en |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | en |
dc.source | WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment | en |
dc.subject | ELECTRIC ENERGY CONSUMPTION | en |
dc.subject | FORECASTING ALGORITHM | en |
dc.subject | MONO-TOWN SUSTAINABILITY | en |
dc.subject | STRATEGY | en |
dc.subject | TECHNOCOENOSIS APPROACH | en |
dc.subject | ALGORITHM | en |
dc.subject | ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE | en |
dc.subject | ELECTRICITY SUPPLY | en |
dc.subject | ENERGY USE | en |
dc.subject | FORECASTING METHOD | en |
dc.subject | SUSTAINABILITY | en |
dc.subject | RUSSIAN FEDERATION | en |
dc.subject | SVERDLOVSK | en |
dc.title | From a forecasting methodology for the electric energy consumption of mono-towns to its sustainability | en |
dc.type | Article | en |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | en |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion | en |
dc.conference.name | 5th International Conference on Energy and Sustainability, 2014 | en |
dc.conference.date | 16 December 2014 through 18 December 2014 | - |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.2495/ESUS140161 | - |
dc.identifier.scopus | 84926486278 | - |
local.affiliation | Technical University of UGMK, Russian Federation | en |
local.affiliation | Ural Federal University, Russian Federation | en |
local.contributor.employee | Федорова Светлана Владимировна | ru |
local.contributor.employee | Худяков Павел Юрьевич | ru |
local.contributor.employee | Мелкозеров Никита Алексеевич | ru |
local.description.firstpage | 185 | - |
local.description.lastpage | 196 | - |
local.volume | 186 | - |
local.identifier.pure | 310938 | - |
local.identifier.eid | 2-s2.0-84926486278 | - |
Располагается в коллекциях: | Научные публикации ученых УрФУ, проиндексированные в SCOPUS и WoS CC |
Файлы этого ресурса:
Файл | Описание | Размер | Формат | |
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10.2495-esus140161.pdf | 624,6 kB | Adobe PDF | Просмотреть/Открыть |
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