Estimation of influence of large integrated structures on socio-demographic safety of municipal unions

Abstract

This paper offers the conceptual apparatus of socio-demographic safety of municipal level territory with the developed qualifier of threats. The complex technique of diagnostics of socio-demographic safety of municipal level territory and revealing of influence of large integrated structures on its formation is developed. The given technique is based on the author's approach of sharing of methods of the indicative analysis and the multidimensional scaling, allowing to estimate absolute and relative level of a condition, dynamics of socio-demographic safety of municipal union with revealing of latent interrelations of integration and socio-demographic processes. The developed complex technique has been approved by municipal unions of Sverdlovsk region where enterprises of large integrated structures are being in production. According to the received results all considered territories on parameters of socio-demographic safety for the period 2000-2009 were in a crisis zone, thus interaction of local governments and the enterprises in a direction of maintenance of socio-demographic safety of territories of their basing in 2009 was productive in all considered unions with the exception of Severouralsk town.