Statistical Modelling of Orderliness of Regional Road Safety Provision Systems

Abstract

the article considers a series of issues connected with the assessment of orderliness of regional road safety provision systems. Success in the improvement of manufacturing processes management depends a lot on the level of system orderliness. This article presents a method of statistical modeling of the orderliness of regional road safety provision systems by assessing the information entropy in the cause-effect chain ≪Population ( P ) - The number of vehicles ( N ) - The number of road accidents ( DTP ) - The number of deaths in road accidents ( PG )≫. It was found that the range of actual values of relative entropy H n for regional road safety provision systems is [0.7161; 0.9787]. According to the results of held statistical modeling, the classification of regions of the Russian Federation by the orderliness of road safety provision systems processes was developed. During the discussion of the results an assumption, that information entropy of road safety provision systems is determined by resource availability of industry, was made. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.