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Название: Response of Pakistan’s economic growth to macroeconomic variables: an asymmetric analysis
Авторы: Sohail, H. M.
Ullah, M.
Sohag, K.
Rehman, F. U.
Дата публикации: 2023
Издатель: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Библиографическое описание: Sohail, HM, Ullah, M, Sohag, K & Rehman, FU 2023, 'Response of Pakistan’s economic growth to macroeconomic variables: an asymmetric analysis', Environmental Science and Pollution Research, Том. 30, № 13, стр. 36557-36572. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-24677-z
Sohail, H. M., Ullah, M., Sohag, K., & Rehman, F. U. (2023). Response of Pakistan’s economic growth to macroeconomic variables: an asymmetric analysis. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(13), 36557-36572. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-24677-z
Аннотация: This study examines the impact of several important macroeconomic variables such as quality of education, infrastructure development, foreign direct investment inflow, and green energy transitions on economic growth. We analyzed annual time series data sample for estimation of the above macroeconomic indicators during 1990 to 2020. We use nonlinear auto-regressive distributive lag model (NARDL) approach to detect the short-term and long-term effects of undermentioned macroeconomic variables on economic growth of Pakistan. The results primarily reveal that the quality education, foreign direct investment inflow, and infrastructure development are playing a significant positive role in the economic growth of Pakistan. Similarly, in short term the foreign direct investment inflow, infrastructure, and green energy transition coefficients are significantly positive related to sustainable development goals. However, the education found as unsubstantial as contributive as other variables. Moreover, the Granger causality and structural break estimations are employed to estimate the causal association between the selected parameters and unexpected change over the economy. The estimated outcomes find the unidirectional causality from education and green energy transition towards economic growth, where education is found within relation to infrastructure. Additionally, bidirectional causal relationship is found between FDI and infrastructure towards economic growth which shows that the increase in foreign investment has the potential to boost the economic growth. Finally, all the estimated indexes are considered as important sources towards the economic growth. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
Ключевые слова: ECONOMIC GROWTH
PAKISTAN
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL INDEXES
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
VECM, NARDL
ECONOMIC GROWTH
EDUCATION
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
PAKISTAN
CARBON DIOXIDE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EDUCATIONAL STATUS
INVESTMENT
PAKISTAN
CARBON DIOXIDE
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EDUCATIONAL STATUS
INVESTMENTS
PAKISTAN
URI: http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/130426
Условия доступа: info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Идентификатор SCOPUS: 85144740505
Идентификатор WOS: 000903263100005
Идентификатор PURE: 37098922
ISSN: 0944-1344
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-24677-z
Сведения о поддержке: National Office for Philosophy and Social Sciences, NPOPSS; National Social Science Fund of China, NSSFC: ZD184
This paper was supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China (21&ZD184).
Располагается в коллекциях:Научные публикации ученых УрФУ, проиндексированные в SCOPUS и WoS CC

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